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J1 League | Gameweek 29
Sep 18, 2021 at 10.30am UK
 

Tokushima Vortis
1 - 3
Kawasaki

Ichimi (38')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Chinen (34' pen., 52'), Wakizaka (42')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Tokushima Vortis and Kawasaki Frontale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 13.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.18%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Tokushima Vortis win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Tokushima VortisDrawKawasaki Frontale
13.06%20.83%66.1%
Both teams to score 43.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43%50.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.51%72.49%
Tokushima Vortis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.25%48.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.23%83.77%
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52%14.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.54%42.46%
Score Analysis
    Tokushima Vortis 13.06%
    Kawasaki Frontale 66.1%
    Draw 20.83%
Tokushima VortisDrawKawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 5.07%
2-1 @ 3.52%
2-0 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 13.06%
1-1 @ 9.8%
0-0 @ 7.06%
2-2 @ 3.4%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 20.83%
0-1 @ 13.64%
0-2 @ 13.18%
1-2 @ 9.47%
0-3 @ 8.49%
1-3 @ 6.1%
0-4 @ 4.1%
1-4 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-5 @ 1.59%
1-5 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 66.1%

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