Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.18%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Tokushima Vortis win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.