Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 46.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shimizu S-Pulse in this match.