Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 68.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
