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J1 League | Gameweek 16
Jul 8, 2020 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
0 - 1
Vissel Kobe


Matsuoka (8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Douglas (75')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Vissel Kobe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawVissel Kobe
34.77%25.65%39.57%
Both teams to score 55.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19%48.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09%70.91%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99%27.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64%62.36%
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67%24.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29%58.71%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 34.77%
    Vissel Kobe 39.57%
    Draw 25.65%
Sagan TosuDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-1 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.77%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 9.29%
1-2 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 6.57%
1-3 @ 4.05%
0-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.09%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 39.57%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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