Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.