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J1 League | Gameweek 12
Sep 9, 2020 at 11am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch

Hiroshima
4 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse

Ezequiel (31'), Vieira (72'), Pereira (81'), Kashiwa (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carlinhos (90+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 17.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawShimizu S-Pulse
60.03%22.53%17.44%
Both teams to score 48.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.55%49.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51%71.49%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.93%16.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.55%45.45%
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.04%41.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6%78.4%
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 60.02%
    Shimizu S-Pulse 17.44%
    Draw 22.52%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawShimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 12.32%
2-0 @ 11.26%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 5.96%
4-0 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 1.18%
5-0 @ 1.15%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 60.02%
1-1 @ 10.7%
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.86%
1-2 @ 4.65%
0-2 @ 2.54%
1-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 17.44%


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