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J1 League | Gameweek 22
Sep 5, 2020 at 10am UK
IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse
1 - 2
Reysol

Carlinhos (90')
Tatsuta (19'), Nakamura (45+2'), Valdo (71'), Takeuchi (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Goya (35'), Esaka (38')
Richardson (51'), Takimoto (77'), Toshima (88'), Nakama (90')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Kashiwa Reysol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Kashiwa Reysol in this match.

Result
Shimizu S-PulseDrawKashiwa Reysol
24.44%23.15%52.4%
Both teams to score 57.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.7%43.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.3%65.69%
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57%31.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.19%67.81%
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46%16.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.69%46.3%
Score Analysis
    Shimizu S-Pulse 24.44%
    Kashiwa Reysol 52.4%
    Draw 23.15%
Shimizu S-PulseDrawKashiwa Reysol
2-1 @ 6.27%
1-0 @ 6.02%
2-0 @ 3.48%
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 24.44%
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-1 @ 9.36%
0-2 @ 8.42%
1-3 @ 5.84%
0-3 @ 5.05%
2-3 @ 3.38%
1-4 @ 2.63%
0-4 @ 2.27%
2-4 @ 1.52%
1-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 52.4%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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