Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Vissel Kobe
38.8% ( -0.23)	26.63% ( -0)	34.57% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 51.96% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.02% (

0.04)

52.98% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.42% (

0.03)

74.58% (

-0.03)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

-0.11)

26.65% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.11% (

-0.15)

61.89% (

0.15)

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84% (

0.17)

29.15% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.91% (

0.2)

65.09% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 38.8%

Vissel Kobe 34.57%

Draw 26.63%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Vissel Kobe
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.8%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.57%