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J1 League | Gameweek 24
Aug 19, 2023 at 11am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
3 - 2
Kawasaki

Soteriou (15'), Junior (60'), Mitsuta (90+7')
Notsuda (40'), Nakano (77'), Koshimichi (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wakizaka (24'), Yamane (71')
Takai (54'), Seko (68')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 2-1 Urawa
Sunday, August 13 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKawasaki Frontale
43.05% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 25.31% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 31.63% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (-0.07 -0.07)48.14% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)70.3% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)22.31% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)55.77% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)28.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)64.47% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43.05%
    Kawasaki Frontale 31.63%
    Draw 25.31%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.99% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.63%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-1 Urawa
Sunday, August 13 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-1 Yokohama FC
Sunday, July 16 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-1 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, July 8 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-1 Yokohama
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-4 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, July 29 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 22 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 0-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 Yokohama FC
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League


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