J1 League | Gameweek 26
Sep 2, 2023 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
| Result |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
23.38% ( -0.02) | 23.96% ( -0.04) | 52.66% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( 0.09) |
| 52.14% ( 0.13) | 47.85% ( -0.13) |
| 29.96% ( 0.12) | 70.04% ( -0.12) |
| 65.16% ( 0.05) | 34.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.42% ( 0.05) | 71.57% ( -0.05) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| 81.87% ( 0.08) | 18.13% ( -0.07) |
