Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.