Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.