Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.85%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.55%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.