Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.