Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 42.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 28.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 1-0 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.
