Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Consadole Sapporo
33.98% ( -0.46)	25.17% ( 0.11)	40.86% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 56.73% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.19% (

-0.61)

46.81% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.93% (

-0.57)

69.07% (

0.57)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

-0.57)

26.53% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.26% (

-0.76)

61.74% (

0.76)

Consadole Sapporo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.21% (

-0.09)

22.79% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.51% (

-0.14)

56.49% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Tokyo Verdy 33.98%

Consadole Sapporo 40.86%

Draw 25.17%

Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Consadole Sapporo
1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.98%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.86%