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J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 6, 2024 at 5am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
3 - 2
Jubilo Iwata

Someno (35' pen.), Kimura (41', 90+9')
Miki (4'), Matsuhashi (64'), Yamami (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Peixoto (55'), Germain (66')
Nishikubo (58'), Furukawa (82'), Uemura (90+7'), Germain (90+13')
Graca (86')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Tokyo Verdy
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-1 Jubilo Iwata
Friday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokyo Verdy win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tokyo Verdy would win this match.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawJubilo Iwata
37.96% (0.0049999999999955 0) 26.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 35.48% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)52.57% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (0.007000000000005 0.01)62.26% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)28.39% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87%64.13%
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 37.96%
    Jubilo Iwata 35.48%
    Draw 26.54%
Tokyo VerdyDrawJubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 37.96%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 6.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.48%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Tokyo Verdy
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-0 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, April 20 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 13 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Reysol
Sunday, April 7 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Tokyo Verdy
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-1 Jubilo Iwata
Friday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, April 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, April 20 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, April 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League


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