J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 at 7am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Tokyo Verdy.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokyo Verdy win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tokyo Verdy would win this match.
| Result |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Tokyo Verdy |
30.86% ( -0.23) | 25.93% ( -0.15) | 43.21% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.37) |
| 48.97% ( 0.52) | 51.03% ( -0.52) |
| 27.1% ( 0.45) | 72.89% ( -0.45) |
| 69.37% ( 0.11) | 30.62% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.13% ( 0.12) | 66.86% ( -0.12) |
| 76.52% ( 0.41) | 23.48% ( -0.41) |
