Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
