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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Jun 13, 2020 at 1pm UK
RCDE Stadium
AL

Espanyol
2 - 0
Alaves

Espinosa (45+3'), Lei (47')
Embarba (4'), Lei (26'), de Tomas (73'), Calleri (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Laguardia (52'), Rioja (65'), Burke (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
EspanyolDrawAlaves
51.05%26.9%22.05%
Both teams to score 43.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.92%60.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.7%80.3%
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27%23.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13%57.87%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.99%43.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7%79.3%
Score Analysis
    Espanyol 51.04%
    Alaves 22.05%
    Draw 26.89%
EspanyolDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 14.68%
2-0 @ 10.55%
2-1 @ 8.91%
3-0 @ 5.06%
3-1 @ 4.27%
4-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 51.04%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 10.2%
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 8.61%
1-2 @ 5.23%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.06%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 22.05%


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