Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.