Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.