Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Atletico

Muniain (37')
Muniain (6'), Williams (45+1'), Martinez (84'), Larrazabal Goikoetxea (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Costa (39')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
36.42%	28.32%	35.26%

Both teams to score 46.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.57%

59.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.2%

79.8%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8%

31.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.47%

67.53%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.07%

31.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.62%

68.38%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 36.42%

Atletico Madrid 35.26%

Draw 28.31%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.6% 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.42%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 9.96% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.31%	0-1 @ 11.37% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.26%