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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
ML

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Mallorca

Vivian (68'), Williams (74')
Garcia (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Baba (65'), Sedlar (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 43.77%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawMallorca
27.09%29.14%43.77%
Both teams to score 42.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.93%64.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.76%83.23%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.43%40.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83%77.17%
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8%29.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85%65.15%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 27.08%
    Mallorca 43.77%
    Draw 29.13%
Athletic BilbaoDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 5.93%
2-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 1.79%
3-0 @ 1.45%
3-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 27.08%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 11.84%
2-2 @ 3.65%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.13%
0-1 @ 14.58%
0-2 @ 8.98%
1-2 @ 8.1%
0-3 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.13%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 43.77%

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