Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.