Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
