Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
