Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 35.75%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
