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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 29, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Balaídos
GL

Celta Vigo
3 - 1
Granada

Nolito (27'), Baeza (81'), Beltran (85')
Murillo (21'), Tapia (45+1'), Olaza (90+2'), Mallo (90+6')
Yokuslu (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Suarez (25')
Foulquier (53'), Martinez (73'), Puertas (90+2'), Soldado (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 35.75%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawGranada
35.6%28.64%35.75%
Both teams to score 45.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.42%60.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.32%80.68%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7%32.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2%68.8%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79%32.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3%68.69%
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 35.6%
    Granada 35.75%
    Draw 28.63%
Celta VigoDrawGranada
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 6.64%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.6%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.63%
0-1 @ 11.78%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 6.68%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.75%

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