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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Oct 4, 2020 at 11am UK
Estadio El Sadar
CV

Osasuna
2 - 0
Celta Vigo

Roncaglia (23'), Calleri (76')
Garcia (55'), Sanjurjo (60'), Garcia (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tapia (26'), Rodriguez (82'), Murillo (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawCelta Vigo
40.1%28.33%31.57%
Both teams to score 46.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.06%59.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.81%80.2%
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77%29.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81%65.19%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26%34.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53%71.47%
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 40.1%
    Celta Vigo 31.56%
    Draw 28.32%
OsasunaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.49%
2-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 1.02%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 40.1%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.32%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 31.56%


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