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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2021 at 8pm UK
Balaidos
VL

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Valencia

Aspas (11')
Beltran (9'), Aspas (12'), Nolito (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duro (19'), Gomez (53')
Gomez (36'), Gaya (51')

We said: Celta Vigo 2-2 Valencia

There has not actually been a draw between these two sides in the league since September 2018, but we are predicting the spoils to be shared here. Both teams are capable of scoring goals, and it would not be a surprise to see an entertaining 2-2 draw on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawValencia
38.81%27.92%33.27%
Both teams to score 47.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84%58.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18%78.82%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89%29.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.96%65.04%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39%32.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85%69.15%
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 38.81%
    Valencia 33.26%
    Draw 27.91%
Celta VigoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 38.81%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.49%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 10.63%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.26%

Read more!
Read more!


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