Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
