Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 36.05%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.18%) and 2-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (13.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.