SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 80%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 6.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.37%) and 0-1 (11.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Barcelona |
| 6.14% | 13.86% | 80% |
| Both teams to score 38.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.63% | 41.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.22% | 63.78% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.09% | 57.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 10.45% | 89.55% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.76% | 8.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.2% | 28.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 2.61% 2-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 1.76% Total : 6.14% | 1-1 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 4.77% 2-2 @ 2.22% Other @ 0.37% Total : 13.86% | 0-2 @ 14.87% 0-3 @ 12.37% 0-1 @ 11.91% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-4 @ 7.72% 1-3 @ 6.76% 1-4 @ 4.22% 0-5 @ 3.86% 1-5 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-6 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.45% Total : 80% |
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