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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Oct 3, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
GL

Real Sociedad
3 - 0
Getafe

Oyarzabal (28' pen.), Merino (79'), Portu (81')
Gorosabel (41'), Merino (72'), Silva (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Suarez (45+1'), Camilo Hernandez (57'), Etxeita (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawGetafe
36.58%28.54%34.88%
Both teams to score 46.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.78%60.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.6%80.4%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51%31.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13%67.87%
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.41%32.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88%69.12%
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 36.58%
    Getafe 34.88%
    Draw 28.53%
Real SociedadDrawGetafe
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-1 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 36.58%
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 11.5%
1-2 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 6.45%
1-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.88%


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