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La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Jose Zorrilla
RM

Real Valladolid
0 - 1
Real Madrid


Alcaraz (60'), Nacho (71'), Orellana (76'), Plano (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Casemiro (65')
Vazquez (69'), Arribas (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 8.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.36%) and 0-3 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawReal Madrid
8.78%16.67%74.55%
Both teams to score 42.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69%44.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31%66.69%
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.11%52.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.42%86.58%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.73%10.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.35%33.66%
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 8.78%
    Real Madrid 74.54%
    Draw 16.67%
Real ValladolidDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 3.46%
2-1 @ 2.51%
2-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 8.78%
1-1 @ 7.88%
0-0 @ 5.43%
2-2 @ 2.85%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 16.67%
0-2 @ 14.07%
0-1 @ 12.36%
0-3 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 8.96%
1-3 @ 6.8%
0-4 @ 6.07%
1-4 @ 3.87%
0-5 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.17%
1-5 @ 1.76%
2-4 @ 1.23%
0-6 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 74.54%

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