Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.69%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 6.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.09%) and 0-3 (12.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.