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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
RM

Alaves
1 - 4
Real Madrid

Joselu (59')
Navarro (10'), Garcia (49'), Laguardia (79'), Sainz (85'), Mendez (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Casemiro (15'), Benzema (41', 70'), Hazard (45+1')
Militao (59'), Mendy (86'), Benzema (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.69%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 6.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.09%) and 0-3 (12.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Madrid
6.18%15.13%78.69%
Both teams to score 34.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.97%47.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73%69.27%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.49%61.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.6%91.4%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.08%9.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.16%32.84%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 6.18%
    Real Madrid 78.66%
    Draw 15.13%
AlavesDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 2.97%
2-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 6.18%
1-1 @ 6.85%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 15.13%
0-2 @ 16.28%
0-1 @ 14.09%
0-3 @ 12.54%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-4 @ 7.25%
1-3 @ 6.1%
1-4 @ 3.52%
0-5 @ 3.35%
1-5 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-6 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 78.66%

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