All of a sudden, Valencia boss Bordalas must work his way around a defensive crisis, and Real Betis ought to feel confident about rediscovering some goalscoring form against a depleted Che backline.
Valencia gave Betis a good run for their money in the Copa del Rey final, but Pellegrini's side were arguably unfortunate not to take any points off Barcelona and can scrape a vital win to extinguish the hosts' hopes of a swift revenge.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
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