It is difficult to ignore Levante's record at Mestalla, with Valencia enjoying so much success at home against their bitter rivals. The visitors need the points to boost their relegation hopes, but we are finding it tough to back anything other than a home success on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for Levante had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Levante win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Levante
50.5%	24.5%	25%

Both teams to score 53.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.37%

48.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.25%

70.75%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.73%

19.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49%

51%

Levante Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.15%

33.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.49%

70.51%

Score Analysis

Valencia 50.49%

Levante 25%

Draw 24.49%

Valencia	Draw	Levante
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-0 @ 4.85% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.05% Total : 50.49%	1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 7.07% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.28% Total : 25%