Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bohemians in this match.