Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
