Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
