Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
