Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.44%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundalk in this match.