Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.