Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.