Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.