Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 79.59%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 6.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.33%) and 1-0 (12.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.