Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.