Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
