Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.