Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 35.42%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (12.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
Result | ||
Bohemians | Draw | Derry City |
35.42% | 29.91% | 34.67% |
Both teams to score 42.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.19% | 64.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.24% | 83.76% |
Bohemians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.36% | 34.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.63% | 71.36% |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.85% | 35.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.1% | 71.9% |
Score Analysis |
Bohemians | Draw | Derry City |
1-0 @ 12.9% 2-1 @ 7.15% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.41% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.17% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.89% | 0-1 @ 12.73% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 6.66% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.15% Total : 34.67% |
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