Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 35.42%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (12.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.