Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bohemians in this match.